ladder

Will Groupon Thrive Or Tank In Q4? This Chart Holds The Key (GRPN)

Source: http://www.businessinsider.com/this-chart-tells-you-whether-groupon-will-thrive-or-tank-in-q4-2011-12


groupon girl

Groupon’s Q4 2011 couldn’t be more crucial: Will it see the revenue bump it needs from holiday shoppers to justify its business model? Or will sales collapse following CEO Andrew Mason’s promised pullback on marketing and customer acquisition spending?

The Wall Street Journal reports that gross billings at the company rose just 1.5 percent from September to October, and not 22 percent as previously estimated.

Has the company reached a plateau before falling of a cliff? Or is it merely taking a pre-Thanksgiving breather before continuing its climb up the Christmas sales ladder?

The company could go either way. Until recently, the company has been dependent on a cash float (and the money it raised in its IPO, of course) to stay in business. Groupon generally makes a loss each quarter. It funds its operations by taking revenues from customers’ credit cards immediately and then delaying for 30 days or so the share of those sales it owes to the merchants who made the offers. As long as there is a greater amount of new money coming in than old money owed, Groupon continues to function.

But what happens if Groupon enters a period in which its revenues decline? At most companies that isn’t too problematic — management can cut expenses to remain profitable. But at Groupon the company’s marketing and customer acquisition expenses are closely related to its revenues. It is not at all clear whether Groupon’s revenues will continue to rise if Mason cuts costs. ! Here’s a chart showing Groupon’s net revenues plotted against its total operating expenses:

groupon

As you can see, in Q3 Mason pulled back on expenses (the green line) in hopes of seeing a profit, but revenue growth (the red line) began to lose steam. The WSJ report suggests it hasn’t regained momentum since, but the October sales period doesn’t include the Christmas run-up.

In Q4, this chart is all you will need to understand whether Groupon can mature into a business that isn’t funded by stock sales. If Mason can get the red line above the green line, or if he can keep the red line moving upward, then he should be congratulated.

If he cannot, then the company — and its investors — will need to do some serious thinking about whether their daily deal business model is viable or not.

SEE ALSO: Groupon Allegedly Hacked Merchant’s Email To Alter Contract

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Monday, December 12th, 2011 news No Comments

The 22 Immutable Laws No Longer Apply

By Augustine Fou, ClickZ, Feb 4, 2010

The habits of modern consumers and their expectations have so drastically changed the landscape into which marketing and advertising campaigns are launched that what held true in the “golden age of advertising” no longer holds true at this, the dawn of the “golden age of the individual.”

In the classic “The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing,” Al Ries and Jack Trout expound on laws that are rooted in the ability to use storytelling to weave spellbinding brands and evoke emotion-filled loyalty. However, as the balance of power shifted away from advertisers to the people they used to target, the game has changed.

Increasingly, individuals prefer to do their own research rather than just take advertisers’ word for it. Individuals need greater levels of detailed information than can be conveyed in a :30 spot, a one page ad, or a radio spot. More individuals are empowered with information that is likely to have been created by other individuals (e.g., product reviews, blog posts) instead of advertisers.

Read on  22 Immutable Laws no Longer Apply

andressilvaaVERY INTERESTING [ARTICLE]: Click-Z takes on a marketing sacred text: http://bit.ly/ap1Gk7 (via @marcblumer)

ntortorellaThe 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply http://is.gd/7Pp1Y

mectoronto2nd part in a series dissecting and debunking the book ’22 Immutable Laws of Marketing’- http://bit.ly/cKm1eL 1st part-http://bit.ly/cmhpwh

rdlynchRT @clickz The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – ClickZ http://bit.ly/bb8MOd

marcblumerClick-Z takes on a marketing sacred text: http://bit.ly/ap1Gk7

rgrosskettThe 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – ClickZ http://bit.ly/bb8MOd

detroitredesignThe 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply (disappointing, since I really liked the book…)http://www.clickz.com/3636379

nobumbling#Marketing as we knew it, no more, read this article: The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply http://j.mp/b6NzHv (via @mnm8312)

tkahlowRT @clickz The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – ClickZ http://bit.ly/bb8MOd

acfouLike I said, it is better to be better than it is to be first (Immutable Law #1 is False) – http://bit.ly/9VkFge

vismediaRT @clickz The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – ClickZ http://bit.ly/bb8MOd Pretty interesting view of Brands & Marketing.

sofebellReading: “The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – ClickZ”( http://twitthis.com/sqygsh )

LaraMSi hope b-schools are listening! http://ow.ly/14QX8

BrennaEliseReading: The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply http://bit.ly/azMzyH

R_OtterstromRT @oliversudotcom: The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – what do you think about this article?http://ow.ly/15xj1

oliversudotcomThe 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – what do you think about this article? http://ow.ly/15xj1

acfouImmutable Law 5: Own a word in the prospect’s mind – what’s Apple? great design, ease-of-use, music, or computers? –http://bit.ly/aRfkiY

coopermediaonly“The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply” – http://ow.ly/15hQj

connectwithcoop“The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply” – http://ow.ly/15hQa

jeetblogThe 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – http://www.clickz.com/3636379

dougdavidoff@toddsattersten I had the same feeling about it (http://tinyurl.com/yjye2fl )

dougdavidoff@toddsattersten did you read this: http://tinyurl.com/yjye2fl? Interesting take on applicability of Immutable Laws.

KKilnerRT @clickz The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – ClickZ http://bit.ly/bb8MOd

bottreeRT @tweetmeme The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – ClickZ http://bit.ly/bb8MOd

inggitaRT @durjoy: My pal Augustine Fou @ClickZ skewers the 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing: http://bit.ly/bb8MOd

acfouWhich too-clever-for-anyone, too-over-the-top-sleazy, or too-brand-perfumey-that-it-makes-me-gag ads did u see ystrday?http://bit.ly/aRfkiY

ntortorellaThe 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply http://bit.ly/9DZhYs

sluuAn interesting blog about how The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply http://bit.ly/bb8MOd – (via @clickz)

TechValidateVery interesting read. Classic marketing dogma is not true anymore. The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply.http://ow.ly/14QX8

durjoyMy pal Augustine Fou @ClickZ skewers the 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing: http://bit.ly/bb8MOd

TobyDivaaugustine fou looks at marketing thru a social lens & updates ries & trout’s 22 rules http://ow.ly/153oo

IdeafoodARTICLE: The 22 immutable laws of marketing no longer apply. http://bit.ly/kent914 (via @KentHuffman)

AIM2meRT @clickz Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply http://bit.ly/bb8MOd but don’t forget the basics http://bit.ly/bmIIDF

acfouImmutable Law 3: advertisers often misinterpret that they can buy their way into the prospects’ minds by shouting loud http://bit.ly/aRfkiY

andressilvaa@warpx These Marketing Laws are very good and excellent tips: http://bit.ly/kent914 (via @KentHuffman)

davidhughanThe 22 immutable laws of #marketing no longer apply by @ClickZ http://bit.ly/c56rVy

jack2ussrDo you really believe? 😉 @ramonthomas The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply http://www.clickz.com/3636379

subbuu22 Immutable Laws of Marketing no longer applies http://j.mp/92GpRz Controversy brewing…

jannekorpiGreat article – How the laws of marketing have changed http://bit.ly/azMzyH

azalec22 Immutable Laws of Marketing no longer apply; balance of power has shifted from advertisers to those being targeted.http://bit.ly/91w7Yk

tfanelliInteresting read – The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – ClickZ: http://www.clickz.com/3636379

MarySicardBlasphemy! “The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply,” says Augustine Fou. http://twurl.nl/dnvzqq

hainguyenVThe 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – Augustine Fou. Interesting post http://bit.ly/azMzyH

astridguillonRT @clickz The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – ClickZ http://bit.ly/bb8MOd

LaunchiteThe immutable laws of marketing, re-examined in the digital/social media age http://bit.ly/bTDPK8

LaraMSi hope b-schools are listening! http://ow.ly/14QX8

BrennaEliseReading: The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply http://bit.ly/azMzyH

R_OtterstromRT @oliversudotcom: The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – what do you think about this article? http://ow.ly/15xj1

oliversudotcomThe 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – what do you think about this article? http://ow.ly/15xj1

acfouImmutable Law 5: Own a word in the prospect’s mind – what’s Apple? great design, ease-of-use, music, or computers? – http://bit.ly/aRfkiY

coopermediaonly“The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply” – http://ow.ly/15hQj

connectwithcoop“The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply” – http://ow.ly/15hQa

jeetblogThe 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – http://www.clickz.com/3636379

dougdavidoff@toddsattersten I had the same feeling about it (http://tinyurl.com/yjye2fl )

dougdavidoff@toddsattersten did you read this: http://tinyurl.com/yjye2fl? Interesting take on applicability of Immutable Laws.

KKilnerRT @clickz The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – ClickZ http://bit.ly/bb8MOd

bottreeRT @tweetmeme The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – ClickZ http://bit.ly/bb8MOd

inggitaRT @durjoy: My pal Augustine Fou @ClickZ skewers the 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing: http://bit.ly/bb8MOd

acfouWhich too-clever-for-anyone, too-over-the-top-sleazy, or too-brand-perfumey-that-it-makes-me-gag ads did u see ystrday? http://bit.ly/aRfkiY

ntortorellaThe 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply http://bit.ly/9DZhYs

sluuAn interesting blog about how The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply http://bit.ly/bb8MOd – (via @clickz)

TechValidateVery interesting read. Classic marketing dogma is not true anymore. The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply. http://ow.ly/14QX8

durjoyMy pal Augustine Fou @ClickZ skewers the 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing: http://bit.ly/bb8MOd

TobyDivaaugustine fou looks at marketing thru a social lens & updates ries & trout’s 22 rules http://ow.ly/153oo

IdeafoodARTICLE: The 22 immutable laws of marketing no longer apply. http://bit.ly/kent914 (via @KentHuffman)

AIM2meRT @clickz Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply http://bit.ly/bb8MOd but don’t forget the basics http://bit.ly/bmIIDF

acfouImmutable Law 3: advertisers often misinterpret that they can buy their way into the prospects’ minds by shouting loud http://bit.ly/aRfkiY

andressilvaa@warpx These Marketing Laws are very good and excellent tips: http://bit.ly/kent914 (via @KentHuffman)

davidhughanThe 22 immutable laws of #marketing no longer apply by @ClickZ http://bit.ly/c56rVy

jack2ussrDo you really believe? 😉 @ramonthomas The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply http://www.clickz.com/3636379

subbuu22 Immutable Laws of Marketing no longer applies http://j.mp/92GpRz Controversy brewing…

jannekorpiGreat article – How the laws of marketing have changed http://bit.ly/azMzyH

azalec22 Immutable Laws of Marketing no longer apply; balance of power has shifted from advertisers to those being targeted. http://bit.ly/91w7Yk

tfanelliInteresting read – The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – ClickZ: http://www.clickz.com/3636379

MarySicardBlasphemy! “The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply,” says Augustine Fou. http://twurl.nl/dnvzqq

hainguyenVThe 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – Augustine Fou. Interesting post http://bit.ly/azMzyH

astridguillonRT @clickz The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – ClickZ http://bit.ly/bb8MOd

LaunchiteThe immutable laws of marketing, re-examined in the digital/social media age http://bit.ly/bTDPK8

DCCommercialREThe 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – ClickZ http://bit.ly/bb8MOd http://fb.me/5k34bZe

HAustinERT @clickz The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – ClickZ http://bit.ly/bb8MOd

oliversudotcomRT @clickz The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – ClickZ http://bit.ly/bb8MOd

lohhw3RT @brandconsultant: Brilliant article on the death of #positioning http://bit.ly/azMzyH #advertising #malaysia #singapore #indonesia

thebfceWithTwitter, stupidity spreads even faster…The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – ClickZ http://bit.ly/bb8MOd

brandconsultantBrilliant article on the death of #positioning http://bit.ly/azMzyH #advertising #malaysia #singapore #indonesia

andressilvaa@warpx They are very good Marketing Laws: http://bit.ly/kent914 (via @KentHuffman)

Vanessa_BrightThe 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – ClickZ http://ow.ly/14G6g

steve_suttonRT @clickz The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – ClickZ http://bit.ly/bb8MOd

SweetLoveGiftsA must read! RT @clickz via @jimcaruso: The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply http://bit.ly/bb8MOd

Vanessa_BrightRT @KentHuffman: The 22 immutable laws of marketing no longer apply: http://bit.ly/kent914

samanthastoneRT @DebbieMarchok. RT @clickz The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – ClickZ http://bit.ly/bb8MOd

michaelredwoodRT @DebbieMarchok: RT @marketing_chief Shaking it up. RT @clickz The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply http://bit.ly/bb8MOd

DebbieMarchokRT @marketing_chief Shaking it up. RT @clickz The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – ClickZ http://bit.ly/bb8MOd

jimcarusoRT @clickz The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – ClickZ http://bit.ly/bb8MOd

vivosityRT @GuyKawasaki: How immutable are the immutable laws of marketing? http://ow.ly/1o9Y82

MarketingRagRT @clickz The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply. Augustine Fou takes them apart on ClickZ. http://bit.ly/bb8MOd

faragodgRT @clickz The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – ClickZ http://bit.ly/bb8MOd

veneredimiloRT @clickz The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – ClickZ http://bit.ly/bb8MOd

rCrosbySticklesThe 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – ClickZ http://www.clickz.com/3636379

brandconsultantFinally someone else who believes positioning & other mass economy models no longer apply http://bit.ly/azMzyH #marketing #positioning

RellyMeltzerThe 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply http://www.clickz.com/3636379

acfouNo one knows you, the small fish in a big pond? Make a new pond? The mktng problem then becomes no one knows your pond: http://bit.ly/bb8MOd

italianpassionRT @andressilvaa: ARTICLE: The 22 immutable laws of marketing no longer apply. http://bit.ly/kent914 (via @KentHuffman)

apkalnsEven “The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing” evolve & transform: http://www.clickz.com/3636379 #marketing #change

andressilvaaARTICLE: The 22 immutable laws of marketing no longer apply. http://bit.ly/kent914 (via @KentHuffman)

ChrisCopywriterhttp://www.clickz.com/3636379 http://fb.me/58F8vCW

UKSEOSpecialistThe 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply http://bit.ly/azMzyH

vvpreethamThe 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – ClickZ http://ow.ly/14wJp

saintmoonriverRT @ramonthomas: Al Ries and Jack Trout’s The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply http://www.clickz.com/3636379

ramonthomasAl Ries and Jack Trout’s The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply http://www.clickz.com/3636379

markvanbaale“Traditional “push” advertising is like a thief breaking into your home at dinnertime and shouting at your family” – http://bit.ly/azMzyH

nickwredenWhy “positioning” theory &”22 immutable laws” are no longer true & will hurt your brand. Great Clickz article. http://bit.ly/azMzyH

AbsatzlehreBy @-davidhughan Great read: The 22 immutable laws of #-marketing no longer apply by @ClickZ http://bit.ly/c56rVy

davidhughanGreat read: The 22 immutable laws of #marketing no longer apply by @ClickZ http://bit.ly/c56rVy

jennycoupeThe 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – ClickZ: http://www.clickz.com/3636379 via @addthis

TimCohnThe 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – ClickZ http://bit.ly/aOMY3Q

jpoloObserving: “The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – ClickZ”, http://bit.ly/baH32k

MichaelMyersThe 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing that No Longer Apply: http://bit.ly/azMzyH

CarrieK_IEGRT @KMGDePaul: Why the 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply http://ow.ly/1o9Y82

KMGDePaulWhy the 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply http://ow.ly/1o9Y82

KenRobbinsRT @kraigguffey: RT @clickz The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – ClickZ http://bit.ly/bb8MOd

CavalierPaleRT @elneco The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – ClickZ http://bit.ly/bb8MOd

elnecootra visión a las clásicas “22 leyes inmutables del mkt” http://www.clickz.com/3636379

webexecutivesMARKETING: @acfou‘s take on how and why the first 7 of “The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing” have changed (http://j.mp/aFxKrP ).

RogersParkCoCRT @whatworks: How the Laws of Marketing Have Changed http://ow.ly/14mSC (via ClickZ)

normbondThe 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – ClickZ http://bit.ly/a8bbGa

fishermarketingExcellent! RT @whatworks How the Laws of Marketing Have Changed http://ow.ly/14mSC (via ClickZ)

AnibalDoRosarioGolden Age of Ads Laws no longer valid in Golden Age Of The Individual “The 22 Laws of Marketing” no longer applicable: http://bit.ly/bGert9

whatworksHow the Laws of Marketing Have Changed http://ow.ly/14mSC (via ClickZ)

vickysjonesThe 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply http://bit.ly/acONli

bmelchiorThe 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply http://bit.ly/acONli

MCNAffiliatesRT @clickz The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – ClickZ http://bit.ly/bb8MOd

manfredkisslingThe 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – ClickZ: http://www.clickz.com/3636379 via @addthis

hbgcoachingRT @clickz The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – ClickZ http://bit.ly/bb8MOd

steprincipatoRT @clickz The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – ClickZ http://bit.ly/bb8MOd #marketing

gburkeThe 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply (Part 1, Rules 1-7) http://bit.ly/90f8Us

gregg_makuchChallenge conventional wisdom – The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – http://bit.ly/azMzyH

shaziaparwezRT @clickz The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – ClickZ http://bit.ly/bb8MOd

ForwardProIt’s always time to rethink marketing: http://bit.ly/acONli

pamdyer“The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing” revisited http://bit.ly/btL7VC Column: They no longer apply in new landscape

jasoncerconeThe 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply http://bit.ly/azMzyH

nickromRT @tweetmeme The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – ClickZ http://bit.ly/bb8MOd

dancommatorThe 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply #marketing #marketingstrategy http://bit.ly/azMzyH

CGFSyncresisRT @clickz The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply – ClickZ http://bit.ly/bb8MOd

Dan_AgnewPeople still arguing “The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing,” but it’s still great food for thought: http://bit.ly/acONli

acfouFALSE: 1st Immutable Law – It is better to be first than it is to be better; today it is better to be better – http://bit.ly/aRfkiY

DaintyNinjaHow the laws that governed the “golden age of advertising” are no longer valid in this “golden age of the individual.” http://bit.ly/acONli

craiglandesNice work: The 22 Immutable Laws No Longer Apply in the “golden age of the consumer” @acfouhttp://bit.ly/aRfkiY

FiurInformationTraditional marketers making the shift take note! The 22 Immutable Laws of Marketing No Longer Apply (http://bit.ly/acONli ) #in

acfouThe 22 Immutable Laws No Longer Apply in the “golden age of the consumer” @acfouhttp://bit.ly/aRfkiY

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Tuesday, February 9th, 2010 digital No Comments

Dr. Augustine Fou is Digital Consigliere to marketing executives, advising them on digital strategy and Unified Marketing(tm). Dr Fou has over 17 years of in-the-trenches, hands-on experience, which enables him to provide objective, in-depth assessments of their current marketing programs and recommendations for improving business impact and ROI using digital insights.

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