portion
With the greater efficiencies of digital, the overall “pie” will shrink because fewer dollars are needed to achieve the same effect. In other terms — for every DOLLAR pulled out of traditional and general advertising, 20 – 50 CENTS is put back into “digital” channels and tactics. Thus the overall pie will continue to shrink while some parts grow and other parts shrink dramatically.

Source: http://www.marketingcharts.com/print/magazine-ad-revenues-pages-fall-in-q1-2010-12574

Ad pages also declined in Q1 2010 compared to Q1 2009, falling 9.4%, according to the Publishers Information Bureau (PIB).
Source: http://www.marketingcharts.com/television/tv-ad-revenues-drop-12-12613/yankeegroup-media-averages-apr-2010jpg/

Total US TV and online advertising revenues dropped 12% in 2009, although online revenues independently grew, according to research from The Yankee Group.
TV Revenue Decline Worse than Expected
In 2009, the total US TV and online advertising market totaled $67 billion, compared to $77 billion in 2008. TV advertising, by far the largest portion of this combined market, was hit especially hard by reductions in spending during 2009.
The TV ad market declined 21.2%, from $52 billion to $41 billion, between 2008 and 2009. This was significantly more than the 4% (or roughly $2.1 billion) decline The Yankee Group originally forecast in June 2009. As highlighted below, a shift in consumer attention primarily drove the steep decline in the TV ad market.
TV’s Loss is Internet’s Gain
Internet advertising grew during 2009, as a result of consumers spending more time online and less time watching TV. Online ad revenues grew 8.3% between 2008, when they totaled $24 billion, and 2009, when they totaled $26 billion.

Media Consumption Dwindles
The total amount of time consumers spent on media per day actually declined 14.3% between 2008 and 2009. Consumers spent about 14 hours per day on media in 2008, but only 12 hours per day in 2009. Most of the decline in media consumption was represented by declining TV viewership.
Americans spent an average of three hours and 17 minutes per day consuming TV and video in 2009, compared to an average of four hours and 13 minutes a day consuming online content. In addition, average daily mobile phone use reached one hour and 18 minutes. Thus Yankee Group advises marketers and advertisers to increase their focus on online and mobile promotions.
Annual US Ad Spending Falls 12.3%
Total US advertising expenditures (including print, radio, outdoor and free standing inserts) fell 12.3% in 2009, to $125.3 billion, as compared to 2008, according to Kantar Media.
Some of Kantar’s findings echo findings from the Yankee Group. Internet display advertising expenditures increased 7.3% for the year, aided by sharply higher spending from the telecom, factory auto and travel categories. Meanwhile, spot TV advertising fell 23.7%, Spanish language TV advertising dropped 8.9%, network TV fell advertising 7.6%, and cable TV advertising only fell 1.4%.
About the Data: Statistics are taken from the updated Yankee Group “2009 Anywhere Advertising Forecast.”
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Source: http://feeds.gawker.com/~r/gizmodo/full/~3/QE1Gthuy4_k/3-million-in-click-fraud-over-two-weeks-just-the-beginning
A recently disbanded click fraud ring in China racked up $3 million worth of clicks in two weeks. $3 million that we’re aware of. Just how detectable is this whole business of racking up fraudulent ad revenue clicks?
That intricate mess of lines above represents a portion of DormRing1, the click fraud bunch that was caught in China. The lines show the relationship of some of the IP addresses involved in the fraud and how they are connected to some fraudulent ad clicks. The whole network actually “involved 200,000 different IP addresses and racked up more than $3 million worth of fraudulent clicks across 2,000 advertisers in a two-week period.” Impressive and scary at the same time.
The trouble is that no one really knows how much ad revenue DormRing1 collected before they were caught. Click-fraud monitoring services such as Anchor Intelligence, the ones behind this catch, are evolving to keep up with the scale on which these rings are operating. It’s still difficult to judge just how well they’re doing as they’re having to infiltrate forums and gain the trust of the perpetrators in a manner reminiscent of drug busts. But as the criminals are getting more elaborate, the investigations are too.
That good news aside, do me a favor: after you read this post, comment, and all that jazz, refresh the page a few times and—Ah…I mean, heh…just kidding. [Tech Crunch]



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marketing misconceptions
- “behavioral targeting” – the belief that people’s surfing behavior will indicate what they are likely to buy — of all my surfing, only a small portion of it is related to doing product research before I buy something, and it is usually limited to the few days or weeks just before the purchase. What advertisers don’t know is how to distinguish this finite surfing behavior which IS related to upcoming purchases from the rest of my surfing behavior which is NOT.
advertising misconceptions
- “targeting” – of course some targeting is better than no targeting (e.g. after-shave ads targeted to men vs women) but even with targeting (e.g. daypart, demographics, specific TV show spot) ads are still “shot” at large audience “buckets” and do not take into account the dozens of other parameters which come into play between the awareness of a product and its purchase (e.g. I just bought a mini van and no matter how many or how accurate mini van ads are, I will not buy another mini van.)
- “reach and frequency”- reach is “how many people you beat over the head with an ad message” and frequency as “how often you do so.”
- gross rating points – an approximation of approximations of estimates of round numbers of probabilities which currently guide the spending of billions of dollars on push advertising — that’s why they call it “gross”
social media misconceptions
- “social media” – thinking that people’s conversations are a form of “media” that can be purchased or “generated” by advertising; and that there is enough of it to achieve the “reach and frequency” advertisers are accustomed to in traditional advertising.
- thinking you can appoint or delegate either by an agency or an intern your precrafted voice in to people’s conversations. (it should be you or someone with a control over issues in the company, it’s not just talk)
- thinking its just talk
- thinking people are there to listen to your marketing pitch
- thinking if you spent enough time chattering you can start selling (you have to add value or no one will buy your product just because you have good bedside manners)
SEO (search engine optimization; organic search) misconceptions
- thinking you can buy links and rise to number 1 in no time
SEM (paid search) misconceptions
- thinking people search for your advertising (people search for information)
Direct Marketing misconceptions
Contributor: Tugce ESENER
Tags: account, advertisers, advertising, advertising misconceptions, Agency, approximation, approximations, audience, awareness, bedside, bedside manners, behavior, belief, belief that, billions of dollars, buckets, com, company, Contributor, control, conversations, course, daypart, demographics, Direct, direct marketing, direct marketing misperceptions, dozens, engine, engine optimization organic search, ESENER, few days, form, frequency, Gmail, gross rating points, guide, head, information, intern, marketing, marketing misconceptions, matter, message, mini, mini van, misconceptions, misperceptions, NOT, number, number 1, optimization, parameters, people search, pitch, play, portion, probabilities, Product, product research, purchase, purchase advertising, push, Rating, reach, research, rest, ris, rise, round, search, search engine optimization, SEM, SEO, shot, show, small portion, social media misconceptions, someone, something, spending, Spot, spot ads, talk, time, traditional advertising, Tugce, tv show, value, van, voice
how do we judge the relative merit and effectiveness of different types of advertising? By finding a common parameter that can be used to compare “apples to apples.” We argue that cost of customer acquisition is a great candidate for such a parameter.
For example, if television advertising cost $50 million to produce and air, and 1,000 people came to the acquisition website, and 10 people applied for and received credit cards then the CCA — cost of customer acquisition would be $5 million ($50 million / 10 people who got the credit card). Of course television advertisers would claim that the “impressions” from TV would have “branded” millions more people and they would eventually get a credit card from the company. That’s possible. But for the purposes of this exercise, if there is no absolute end-to-end tracking, we don’t count it. Because, for example, many other possible scenarios can also occur, like the person saw this ad for a credit card but ended up getting a card from a different bank, they saw and remembered the ad but they already had several credit cards from the company, etc.
With “online” we can easily see lift in search activity around the time that brand/awareness advertising is in-flight. This is one of the best indicators of interest — the person saw the TV ad, and was inspired enough to go online to do more research to inform their own purchase decision. Modern consumers will typically search and then click through. In rare instances, they will type the URL, but it is usually the domain name, not the special URL — domain_name.com/special_url — just because of pure laziness or simply because they forgot the /special_url portion.
Now let’s look at a print example: a print ad cost $5 million to produce and traffic in targeted magazines. About 1,000 people came to the website and 10 people ended up purchasing the advertised product. So the CCA is $500,000 per customer acquired. There may be more people who saw the ad and eventually came in to buy a product. But again, there is a problem of attribution.
Now a final example from “online” marketing. Search ads were run using Google Adwords and a $1 CPC (cost per click) was paid. Of those people who clicked through 1 in 20 purchased a product. So it took 20 clicks at $1 each to achieve 1 sale – so the cost of customer acquisition is $20.
OK, so what about prodycts not sold online? We can use a proxy which has a known conversion to sales. For example, once a coupon is printed from the website, from historic data the advertiser knows that 30% end up using the coupon – i.e. redeeming with a purchase. So, again, if we used a $1 CPC and 1 in 20 ended up printing the coupon and 30% of those “converted” to an offline sale, the CCA would be $66.67 ($20/0.30).
So to recap
Television – $5 million CCA
Print – $500,000 CCA
Paid Search – $20 CCA
Paid Search + Offline Sale – $67 CCA
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